We have all heard about the all-important “swing states,” or those seemingly random states that seem to carry more weight in our confusing electoral college system than the others.
POLITICO has identified 11 swing states in this election cycle. In other words, the 2016 election will be won and lost in the following states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
[Editorial Note: Our very own Rance Collins, a native Texan, has high hopes for the state. Recent polling has suggested that due to shifting demographics towards a younger population and the success of urban hubs like the city of Austin, Texas is competitive for the first time in decades. In honor of Rance, Bros4Hillary has added Texas to our list of swing states along with a couple others we have our eyes on. -AM]
Why are these states so important? The notion that swing states matter more than traditionally blue states like, say, California, is a bit of a misnomer. The truth is, that California’s demographic composition is such that we can expect with some degree of certainty that the voters in that state will lean ideologically and politically in a left-leaning direction, and they will do so consistently enough that we can already predict the outcome of the states general election, and project in advance where those state’s electoral college votes will go on Election Day.
This isn’t to say that Californians votes don’t matter! If enough voters took that position, and subsequently did not show up to the polls, the entire premise of California’s electoral college predictability would be turned on its head and (even lower) voter turnout would disrupt our ability to rely on states like California to deliver wins to the liberals and progressives. Remember, California has the most electoral college votes (55) in the nation. It takes 270 or more Electoral College votes to win the election.
Those swing states though! The fact is that these states currently have demographic make-ups that are shifting and evolving in such a way that there isn’t a sure-fire model for predicting how voters in those states will behave. Some of these states just tend to be historically moderate states with a high density of centrist voters that don’t espouse traditionally conservative or liberal views overall. The “swing states” unpredictability, shifting demographics, and up-for-grabs electoral college votes make them hotly contested battlegrounds for candidates and this election cycle is no different!
This is because for most of the states in the nation, voter registration deadlines are approaching within days, and early voting will begin in October. A large and substantial portion of the electorate casts their votes outside of traditional ballot-box voting. Whether voting by absentee ballot, or taking advantage of early voting in their states, we know that by the time the rest of America casts its vote on Election Day, November 8th, the outcome of the election may have already been decided!
If that’s enough to give you pause, then join us on the 6th Day of Hillary: Reach Out to Swing State Voters!
Whether hashtagging states on Twitter and sharing our state specific voter registration memes (complete with registration deadlines and early voter schedules), or calling your friends and family who might live in these states and encouraging them to register using our official IWillVote page (www.iwillvote.com/bros4hillary)
We need to make a concerted effort to make sure voters in these states #goblue! Or just share our IWillVote link far and wide! Users can use this resource to register, update their registration, and even check their voter registration. Again that is:
MSNBC did this handy run-down of every state and their respective deadlines:
Check out our swing state voter registration memes below and continue to check our Twitter and Instagram feeds as we release daily state-specific memes. Feel free to share these on your social media! Don’t forget to hashtag #bros4hillary and/or tweet us @bros4hillary.
Spread the word! Share this article with your friends, and tweet #12DaysofHillary #6thDayofHillary #StrongerTogether #ImWithHer and/or #Bros4Hillary.
Stay tuned for The Seventh Day of Hillary, tomorrow!
Alex Mohajer is the Political Director of Bros4Hillary. You may reach him directly here. The #12DaysofHillary memes were designed by Bros4Hillary Social Media Outreach Team Leader, Priscilla Wagner. You may reach her on twitter @_CillaW. The Swing State Voter Registration memes were researched and designed by Katharine Mueller, Bros4Hillary Political Researcher. You may contact her directly here.